A growing list of Democratic strategists reportedly fear a likely bid from President Trump to take back the White House in 2024.
And considering Joe Biden’s recent dip in the polls combined with a lack of strong Democrat candidates if Biden weren’t to run, they have ample reasons for taking this view.
The Hill reported the following:
“Democrats are worried about another White House bid by former President Trump, something that is appearing increasingly likely on the eve of an Iowa rally by the leading potential GOP candidate.
Democrats say Trump can’t be taken for granted. While some are confident a new Trump candidacy would bring out a wave of Democratic voters to defeat him, others are worried he could return to power. And that’s enough to bring shudders to most in the party.
‘There’s not a strategist or insider that I’m hanging out with who would like to see Donald Trump running again,’ said Rachel Bitecofer, a Democratic pollster. ‘Nobody should think he would be a weak nominee.’”
Not only does Trump have a solid base of support that garnered him 74 million votes in 2020, but Joe Biden is an immensely unpopular president nine months into his presidency.
The results of this week’s Quinnipiac poll are devasting for Joe Biden.
Here are the survey results:
- “The response to the coronavirus: 48 percent approve, while 50 percent disapprove;
- The economy: 39 percent approve, while 55 percent disapprove;
- His job as Commander in Chief of the U.S. military: 37 percent approve, while 58 percent disapprove;
- Taxes: 37 percent approve, while 54 percent disapprove;
- Foreign policy: 34 percent approve, while 58 percent disapprove;
- Immigration issues: 25 percent approve, while 67 percent disapprove;
- The situation at the Mexican border: 23 percent approve, while 67 percent disapprove”
When it comes to Biden’s personal traits and leadership ability, Americans view Biden negatively according to the same poll:
- Cares about average Americans: 49 percent say yes, while 48 percent say no, compared to 58 – 37 percent yes in April;
- Is honest: 44 percent say yes, while 50 percent say no, compared to 51 – 42 percent yes in April;
- Has good leadership skills: 41 percent say yes, while 56 percent say no, compared to 52 – 44 percent yes in April.”
And to make matters worse for Biden, only 55 percent view him as a “competent” president.
Biden isn’t just unpopular nationally, but he is also unpopular in his home state of Delaware. According to a Civiqs poll, only 41 percent of Delaware residents approve of Biden’s performance as president.
Biden is only above water in the following states: New York (+3), Vermont (+17), Massachusetts (+9), New Jersey (+2), Maryland (+13), Connecticut (+2), California (+9), and Washington (+3).
That means that Biden is drowning in every swing state that he would need to win if he runs in 2024.
He is below water in the following battle ground states: Arizona (-17), Nevada (-15), Georgia ( -20), North Carolina (-14), Pennsylvania ( -15), Ohio (-25), Michigan (-14), Wisconsin ( -14), Florida (-15), Minnesota (-7), and Iowa (-24).
Overall, according to the Real Clear Politics average, Biden’s approval rating is at 45% nationally, with 49% disapproval.”
He is down in almost every major poll published recently: Reuters (-4), Rasmussen (-14), Economist ( -8), Politico ( -3), NPR/PBS/ Marist (tied at 46%), and the Hill/Harris ( +5).
If these trends hold, President Trump will have a surefire chance at taking back the White House in 2024.
Now the question is: Will he run?