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North Carolina is shaping up to be Trump territory in the upcoming November 2024 general election, based on the latest polling data in the Tar Heel State.
According to the newest DDHQ polling average, Trump is leading Biden by just over five points in a hypothetical general election, based on an average of 25 polls.
Trump easily swept to victory in North Carolina’s 2024 GOP primary election in early March, rocketing to a Super Tuesday series of historic wins that catapulted him later in the month to the Republican primary nomination.
In July, Trump will formally accept the presidential nomination at the Republican National Convention. “With your support, we will go on to victory the likes of which no one has ever seen before!” he told a North Carolina rally crowd last month.
More polling averages from data aggregators like Real Clear Politics have given Trump a 48-electoral vote lead nationwide over Biden in a general election, while Race to the White House has given Trump a 49-vote lead with the EC.
Polymarket’s forecast has also projected that Trump is currently holding advantages in the key battleground states of North Carolina (40 points), Georgia (18 points), and Arizona (10 points).
North Carolina has historically been a fairly solid state for Republicans, barring Democrat candidate victories there in 1976 (Jimmy Carter) and 2008 (Barack Obama). President Trump won North Carolina in both presidential elections of 2016 and 2020.
It looks like Trump is on track to win North Carolina again if the polls hold solid into November’s general election. A recent poll from Fabrizio/Wall Street Journal found that Trump was six points ahead of Biden in North Carolina, and in a presidential battle that included other third-party candidates, Trump’s lead increased to seven points.
