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The Trump campaign revealed concerns for Democrats headed into Election Day as President Donald Trump’s advantage has grown during early voting in swing states.
Tim Saler, the campaign’s grassroots targeting – chief data consultant, released a memo late Monday to highlight the left’s problematic situation.
“With Early Voting closed and Election Day on the horizon, Democrats are facing a massive turnout deficit. In every single battleground state, we see President Trump and Republicans outperforming elections past in absentee ballots and early votes cast. As we dive deeper into the data, Democrats are facing a precipitous decline in urban turnout according to their own ‘data experts’ and we are tracking an uptick in rural turnout,” Saler reported.
The memo also highlighted comments from Democratic leaders ahead of the election.
“Obama’s former campaign manager, Jim Messina, said on MSNBC that ‘the early vote numbers are a little scary.’ What Mr. Messina is downplaying, is they are a lot scarier for Democrats,” Slater noted.
The concerns were not limited to Election Day, as Trump also holds an advantage among voters polled who expect to vote on Tuesday.
“According to NBC News, President Donald J. Trump has a 16-point lead (56-40) among voters who plan to cast their ballot on Election Day. Obama’s chief campaign strategist and CNN political commentator, David Axelrod, told CNN that there are no guarantees that voters will turn out on Election Day for Vice President Harris,” Slater stated.
“If Democrats, who historically vote ahead of Election Day, haven’t been motivated to show up for Kamala yet, why do we expect them to show up tomorrow?” he asked.
The campaign memo also cited Democrat data expert Tom Bonier of TargetSmart. His analysis of swing states showed that voter turnout is down in two areas key to the left’s success—urban voters and women—while rural voters who often support conservatives are turning out in much larger numbers than in 2020.
For example, in Georgia urban turnout is down -153,846 votes compared to this point in 2020, according to Bonier, while female turnout is down -46,732 votes compared to this point in 2020. In contrast, the state’s rural turnout is up +171,837 votes compared to this point in the last presidential election.
