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As President Donald Trump and Joe Biden prepare for a rematch election unlike any in over a century, new polling figures across swing states found that both candidates face tight races in key battlegrounds across the country.
Fox News’ latest poll of Registered Voters in Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin found that President Trump was slightly favored to win these states in November, with his support far outpacing that of 2020.
President Trump’s best chance of flipping a state came from Georgia, where the survey found he would defeat Joe Biden by six points (51 percent to 45 percent), a radical shift from the incumbent’s 0.3 percent win in the state four years ago.
In a hypothetical five-way race, President Trump defeated Biden by seven points (46 percent to 39 percent), while third-party candidates Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (seven percent), Cornel West (two percent), and Jill Stein (one percent) trailed far behind the frontrunners.
In Michigan, President Trump led his opponent by three points (49 percent to 46 percent) in a head-to-head race, a near reversal of Biden’s near three-point win in 2020.
Moreover, Biden previously led President Trump in Michigan by eight points (49 percent to 41 percent) at this same point in April 2020, according to Fox News.
The 45th president also led Biden in a five-way race, though a smaller margin, with 42 percent to 40 percent. Meanwhile, Kennedy, who will appear on Michigan’s ballot in 2024, carried nine percent, while Stein and West tied with two percent.
Should President Trump carry both Michigan and Georgia, the two states from the poll he best performed, he would earn 266 Electoral College Votes. Assuming he carried his states from 2020, he would be four votes shy of the 270 needed to win the presidency.
Meanwhile, the two presumptive nominees stood neck-and-neck in both Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, tied at 48 percent each in both key rustbelt states.
In a five-way election, Biden led the 45th president in Wisconsin—albeit narrowly—by two points (43 to 41 percent), with Kennedy receiving nine percent and Stein tied with West at two percent.
However, Wisconsin’s polling has historically underestimated President Trump during the last two presidential elections. In 2020, polls overestimated Democrats by six points and more than seven points in 2016.
In Pennsylvania, President Trump also led the five-way race by two points (44 percent to 42 percent). Kennedy also took eight percent, Stein carried two percent, and West received just one percent.
Should President Trump run the table and win in the states of Georgia, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, he would receive 295 Electoral College votes, making history as the 45th and 47th president of the United States.