Polls hit surprising levels amid Trump’s third indictment

by Alex Caldwell

Photo: Alamy

Despite endless investigations, indictments, and negative media coverage of President Trump, voters have still not been dissuaded from supporting his candidacy for president.

A Premise poll, conducted days after the 45th president’s third indictment last week, found that 54 percent of registered GOP primary voters would back Trump in 2024, followed by Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis at 18 percent.

Businessman Vivek Ramaswamy received seven percent, with former Vice President Mike Pence at six percent, S.C. Sen. Tim Scott at four percent, former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley taking four percent, and former N.J. Gov. Chris Christie receiving just one percent.

With President Trump poised to win the primaries by a wide margin, polling also found that he would defeat Joe Biden in another head-to-head matchup.

Among registered voters, Trump polled 42 percent support to Biden’s 38 percent, while an additional 20 percent of respondents claimed to be “undecided.”

DeSantis, however, would lose to Biden (36 percent to 34 percent) in the general election, according to the poll.

Although Trump led by only four points against Biden, with many respondents undecided, it is important to consider the demographics for the poll of 1,726 Americans.

Over 39 percent of the respondents were affiliated with the Democrat Party, and 28 percent were affiliated with the Republicans. An additional 32.7 percent identified as Independent.

This poll is significant because it shows that—despite 11 percent more Democrats being polled than Republicans—Trump still has the edge against Biden in a left-leaning poll.

Further, the data showed Trump outperforming Biden among independents—a demographic that, if won, could determine the winner of the presidency—with 39 percent support to 16 percent.

For context, Trump won independent voters 46 percent to 42 percent over Hillary Clinton in 2016, while Biden carried 54 percent to 41 in 2020, one of many factors that led to wins in purple states like Arizona, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Nevada, Georgia, and Wisconsin during the past two presidential election cycles.

While the poll still reported a high number of undecided independents (45 percent), the momentum is clearly on Trump’s side despite his three ongoing legal battles against Democrats and the Justice Department.

“I’m probably the only person in history of this country that’s been indicted and my numbers went up,” Trump said during the Faith and Freedom Coalition’s “Road to Majority” conference last month.

Trump’s fundraising had also doubled during the second fiscal quarter after his second indictment, an indication that his campaign could rake in even more funds and support next quarter due to his third indictment from earlier this month.

As previously reported by RSBN, the Trump campaign pulled in over $35 million during the second fiscal quarter of 2023, of which more than $6.6 million was raised after his second indictment.

Should Trump be convicted, however, a majority of Republicans (69 percent) and 40 percent of independents pledged to support the 45th president, the Premise poll reported.

Meanwhile, Biden not only faces a 23-point gap with Trump among independents, but his support among Democrats has also been lackluster.

According to the Premise poll, a majority of Democrats (55 percent to 45 percent) do not want Biden to run for reelection in 2024, and just 60 percent of members from his own party approve of his tenure.

Among all registered voters, only eight percent “strongly approve” of the Biden White House, and 22 percent “somewhat approve.” For his disapproval, 59 percent of registered voters polled disapprove of Biden, while a surprising 11 percent of Democrats reported they would instead support Trump in 2024.

Although the presidential election is more than one year away, it is clear that Americans—including many Democrats— do not want to see the continuation of a Biden White House, and may rather want a return to the Trump era.

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