Trump dominates market odds as ‘the end’ draws near for Haley’s campaign

2D54KK1 Sanford, United States. 12th Oct, 2020. President Donald Trump Walks the stage to thank supporters following his speech at the campaign rally in Sanford, Florida on Monday October 12, 2020. Photo by Joe Marino/UPI Credit: UPI/Alamy Live News

Analysis by Summer Lane | Photo: Alamy

President Donald Trump is the only serious Republican candidate in the race for the 2024 party nomination, and the latest GOP polling has made that point abundantly clear.

For the past few months, prospective contenders for the GOP nomination have dropped like flies, rendering once-glamorous political hotshots like Gov. Ron DeSantis, R-Fla., beleaguered and more than a little embarrassed as they have been forced to face Trump’s supreme popularity with Republican voters.

Case in point: the latest market odds from Polymarket currently forecast Trump with a 93 percent of winning the Republican 2024 presidential nomination.

In their forecast, former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley has only a four percent shot. “Other” has two percent, while GOP presidential dropouts, Gov. DeSantis and businessman Vivek Ramaswamy, were allotted one percent.

On Saturday, Haley’s campaign will face the full might of Trump’s voting base in her home state of South Carolina, where he is leading among Republicans at 71 percent against Haley’s 29 percent, per Emerson College.

Trump advisors Chris LaCavita and Susie Wiles foreshadowed the coming victory for the president in a blistering memo titled, “The End is Near for Nikki Haley.” They wrote, “Nikki Haley’s campaign ends Saturday, February 24th, fittingly, in her home state, rejected by those who know her the best.”

Polymarket’s forecast has also given Trump the highest chance of winning the presidency in 2024, giving him a whopping 22-point lead over Joe Biden in a hypothetical general election.

Nikki Haley’s floundering popularity with Republican voters has resoundingly proven that she simply does not have the strength or the support to take on Biden in a general contest – much less win a single state in the primary election.

The Trump campaign’s memo put it like this: “The true ‘State’ of Nikki Haley’s campaign? Broken down, out of ideas, out of gas, and completely outperformed by every measure, by Donald Trump.”

There is no viable path for Nikki Haley to get close to winning the GOP nomination, and everyone knows it. Why she has remained in the Republican primary race for so long is anybody’s guess, but it is clear that Donald Trump holds the most support among GOP voters, and that he will represent the Republican Party against Joe Biden in November.

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