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Most of the latest surveys show President Trump beating Joe Biden in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup, but also when a third-party candidate is thrown into the mix.
A Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll conducted between Feb. 12 and Feb. 20 showed that Trump would win in critical swing states. An electoral map based on the poll puts him at 312 electoral votes to Biden’s 221.
Respondents were asked if the “2024 election for US president were being held today,” with Trump and Biden on the ticket, “for whom would you vote?” Overall, Trump received 48 percent of the vote, while Biden received just 43 percent.
In Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania, Trump received 49 percent to Biden’s 43 percent. The margin was higher in North Carolina, with Trump securing 50 percent of the vote, while Biden only garnered 41 percent.
Michigan was the closest swing state race, with Trump receiving 46 percent to Biden’s 44 percent. Trump came out victorious in Nevada and Wisconsin, receiving 48 and 46 percent, respectively, to Biden’s 42 percent.
The latest Real Clear Politics (RCP) polling average shows Trump up by 2 percent in the general election.
Trump also holds a commanding lead over Nikki Haley in every state. Despite his victories in South Carolina and Michigan, Haley has stayed in the race.
The upcoming Super Tuesday primary elections on March 5 will include 15 states and American Samoa. Trump is beating Haley by double digits in every race, but her plans to continue her campaign after that day are still unknown.
Six Super Tuesday states hold open primaries, allowing registered voters to cast their ballot for either party. Trump has argued that Haley has been propped up by Democratic voters, which could also occur on March 5 in the open primary states of Alabama, Arkansas, Minnesota, Texas, Vermont, and Virginia.
However, Trump is the clear favorite and will likely sail to victory, just as he has in every state primary election thus far.