Analysis by Summer Lane | Photo: Alamy
The results of next year’s presidential election are hotly anticipated, but far fewer people are talking about the upcoming 2024 Senate election cycle in the U.S.
Like the 2022 midterm elections, Republicans could potentially be poised to pick up several seats in the Senate, which could easily net the GOP a Senate majority. In fact, it is entirely possible that Republicans could take control of both the House and the Senate in 2025.
Last year, Republicans won control of the House of Representatives but narrowly lost out on attaining a majority in the Senate. In 2024, several battleground seats will be up for grabs in states like Arizona, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
Right now, Democrats hold a 51-seat majority against the Republicans, who ended up with 49 seats in the aftermath of the 2022 midterm elections.
In Arizona, for example, incumbent Senator Kyrsten Sinema, I-Ariz., has not yet made her reelection plans public. Last year, she made waves when she switched her party affiliation from Democrat to Independent. However, former GOP gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake seems poised to dive into the Senate race and challenge Sinema for the seat.
According to Axios, Lake is reportedly “staffing up” to launch a Senate campaign in the Grand Canyon State this fall, where she will once again vie for public office.
Lake stated in July that she believed she had enough support in the polls to win the senatorial election. She said during remarks made in Iowa, “We have an opportunity to pick up a very important seat so that when President Trump gets back into office, he can have people in D.C. ready to back him up with his incredible agenda.”
According to a report from LSE, there are 20 Democrat Senate seats up for grabs next year. Far fewer Republican seats will be in jeopardy. This puts the GOP in a much better position to potentially pick up a majority in the upper chamber if their candidates can run successful ground-game campaigns against their Democrat opponents.
Three important seats to consider in this election will also be Ohio (Sen. Sherrod Brown, D-Ohio), Montana (Sen. Jon Tester, D-Mont.), and West Virginia (Sen. Joe Manchin, D-W.Va.), LSE reported.
These states swung heavily for Trump in the 2020 presidential elections, and it is highly probable that they could swing heavily for Republican senatorial candidates in 2024.
Ultimately, there will be Senate races across the country next fall, but only a select handful have the potential to win Republicans the Senate. With the Democrats holding on to a narrow majority, the GOP only needs to flip a few seats red to solidify their power over both chambers.