A recent poll released by Redfield & Wilton Strategies on Sunday shows that former President Trump is not only leading the predicted 2024 general elections in multiple swing states but is even “performing better than he did in 2020.”
“In the first edition of this monthly tracker, conducted on October 7th and 8th (and 9th in the case of Michigan), our Presidential Voting Intention poll finds Donald Trump clearly performing better than he did in 2020,” stated the R&WS research team.
According to R&WS research, voters in Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania were asked who they would vote for in a 2024 general election solely between Trump and President Biden.
In four of the six states polled, the 45th president leads Biden by three to five percent while tying in Michigan and falling slightly behind Biden by only one percent in Pennsylvania.
Notably, during the 2020 presidential elections, Biden had won in major swing states such as Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Michigan, with Trump only winning Florida and North Carolina.
While R&WS highlights that third-party players in presidential elections have “failed to achieve significant popular support” since 1996, they added Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. into a hypothetical poll.
Nevertheless, even with Kennedy in the mix, the polls showed Trump had gained a state, leading Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, and North Carolina and tying with Biden in Pennsylvania.
In fact, while some reports have stated that Kennedy could hurt Trump in the polls now that he’s running under the independent nominee, the R&WS polls suggest that “an independent RFK Jr. candidacy may help Trump by a slight margin.”