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President Trump is seeing massive gains with Independent voters in America, indicating what seems to be widespread populist support for his candidacy heading into next year’s heated presidential election season.
According to new data from NPR/Marist College, President Trump has eclipsed Biden with Independent support, providing a stark contrast between October 2020 and December 2023.
Their data showed Biden with a 21-point lead over Trump in 2020, just before the general election.
Now, in December 2023, their poll shows that Trump has not only regained that momentum but catapulted past Biden, besting him now by five points (50 percent vs. Biden’s 45 percent).
Such a rapid gain among Independent voters appears to illustrate the prospective political temperature of the country ahead of 2024, where voters across the nation are frustrated with the current state of the country under the Biden administration.
In the GOP primary race, President Trump is positioned to handily sweep the election and claim victory to represent the Republican Party on the national ballot next year. Per RSBN, Trump is holding a 54-point lead over the runner-up in the national Republican primary race, via tracking data from Morning Consult.
With the Republican primary all but locked up tight, Trump has his sights set on the general election, and the polls are looking good.
In a recent Redfield & Wilton Strategies poll, Trump dominated the three-way race between himself, Biden, and Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., in at least six key battleground states in the general election.
Despite Kennedy’s switch to the Independent ticket, it appears that Independent voters are migrating away from Biden and toward Trump, with Kennedy consistently garnering around seven to 10 percent in their data.
This seems to suggest that Independent voters are far more likely to swing Republican in the 2024 presidential election cycle than they were in 2020, meaning that the coveted “swing voter” bloc could greatly aid Trump in the general election this time around.