GOP holds 10-point lead in generic ballot for 2022

by Benjamin Horvath

Even legacy media sources are painting a bleak picture for Democrats heading into 2022 as Republicans scored a historic 10-point advantage among registered voters in the generic Congressional ballot, according to a recent ABC News/Washington Post poll released on Sunday.

The 10-point advantage is the largest GOP polling margin since November 1981 – during the first year of the Reagan administration. The margin is much larger than 1994 and 2010 midterm polling which were elections in which Republicans gained 54 and 63 House seats, respectively.

A poll from The Hill confirmed this seismic shift toward Republicans, naming the Biden administration’s botched withdrawal from Afghanistan, skyrocketing inflation, and handling of the Covid-19 virus as the biggest factors contributing to the dismal outlook for Democrats. Also, the party’s growing disconnection from American voters was a contributor as well.

Overall, Biden and the Democrats have suffered a significant erosion of support across every major demographic group, especially among Independents and even among groups historically aligned with the party.

For example, in the 2020 election, Democrats only received 49 percent of the vote among Hispanic voters, 79 percent among Black voters, and just 39 percent among suburban voters. All of which are extremely low numbers for Democrats and indicative of the shift among voters who supported President Trump.

Republicans expanded their lead among white men and women without college degrees by more than 20 points since the 2018 midterm elections, a number also reflective of the massive shift of voters supportive of Trump’s populist message.

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