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President Trump is in a strong position to win back the White House in November 2024, proving once again that he has more electoral strength than ever, roughly six months out from the general election.
FiveThirtyEight polling averages have found that Trump is holding an overall one-point advantage over Biden across aggregated data, but his odds are much better than that. Polymarket’s famed 2024 election forecast has placed Trump with his biggest lead yet, giving him a 17-point lead over Biden in his chances to win the presidency.
Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. garnered just two percent in their forecast.
Polymarket’s odds factor in the likelihood of Nevada, Arizona, and Georgia swinging red for Trump in 2024.
According to FiveThirtyEight’s data, Trump is leading in the most critical battleground states around the nation, including North Carolina, Nevada, Georgia, Arizona, and Pennsylvania. Trump is even leading by a whisper in hard-blue Michigan and Wisconsin.
In fact, according to their data, they have projected that Trump will win the election with 86 more electoral votes than Biden, putting him past the needed 270 to capture victory on election night.
While Trump may not actually win states like New York or California, there can be no denying the historic support that he is drumming up in deep-blue districts like the South Bronx and Harlem.
On Thursday, Trump drew tens of thousands of people to Crotona Park in the Bronx, demonstrating just how fed-up Democrat voters are with failed leftist leadership in their blue states and in the White House under the Biden administration.
“Americans are ready for CHANGE,” Rep. Byron Donalds, R-Fla., explained on X in May, noting Trump’s dominant swing-state polling and his swelling support in states like Minnesota and Virginia.
